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September Market Commentary

U.S. equities delivered strong gains in September, a month that often leans weaker seasonally. The S&P 500 rose about 3.5 percent and the Nasdaq gained roughly 5.6 percent, marking the best September in over 15 years. Participation was somewhat uneven. Large-cap technology and growth companies remained important drivers of performance,

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Consumer Confidence is More than Just a Survey

Consumer Confidence is more than just a survey: recent research in narrative economics suggests it is a critical determinant of the American economy. Here is why: Consumers control the economy, accounting for roughly seventy percent of GDP; their spending is heavily influenced by narratives. The narrative of fear and distrust,

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September 17th FOMC Follow-Up

Monetary Policy ▪ The FOMC announced yesterday it will cut the Federal Funds target rate by 25 bps to a range of 4.00 – 4.25%, the first policy rate change of 2025. This decision had become widely expected by the market prior to the meeting.▪ Newly sworn in Fed Governor

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Could a more balanced global trade environment and easing monetary policy reshape market dynamics in the months ahead?

Recent optimism around US-China trade talks, coupled with stronger-than-expected consumer spending data, point to a cautiously upbeat economic backdrop. While inflation pressures remain, modest interest rate cuts suggest policymakers are aiming to support sustainable growth without overheating the economy.  Across sectors, markets are responding to evolving trade relationships and regulatory

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August Market Commentary

Equity markets have staged a strong rally from the April lows, supported by economic and earnings data that have proven more resilient than initially feared. While our investment process incorporates a wide range of inputs, we highlight below several developments that have been particularly relevant in recent weeks. 1. Federal

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Recent Labor Market Data

Recent labor market data highlights an important dynamic worth considering for financial planning and career outlook. Job growth remains modest and below expectations, with unemployment edging higher. While artificial intelligence continues to reshape certain industries, its current impact on the broader labor market appears limited, with economic uncertainty and cautious

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Social Security Is Ending Paper Checks

The Social Security Administration (SSA) has announced that starting September 30, 2025, it will no longer issue paper checks for monthly benefits. Payments will instead be delivered electronically through direct deposit to a bank account or to a Direct Express prepaid debit card. For most people, this change will not

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Understanding the Housing Starts Report

The Housing Starts Report measures the pace of new residential construction in the United States. It focuses on 2 key indicators: Interpreting the Numbers July’s numbers tell two stories. On one hand, builders are pressing ahead with current projects despite high borrowing costs, showing resilient housing demand. At the same

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Market Snapshot for July 2025

Please find the next blog in our monthly series that provides a snapshot of the markets and the state of the economy. Economic Overview Market Returns Asset Class Valuations – Rebalancing Rationale Key Risk Factors We Are Watching Disclaimers: The views expressed herein are those of Asset Consulting Group (ACG).

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A Major Tax Law is Now in Effect

On July 4, 2025, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) was officially signed into law after passing both chambers of Congress. This legislation represents the most significant tax reform in years, and it reshapes key provisions that were originally set to expire at the end of 2025. For high

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Manufacturing Orders

New orders for manufactured goods fell 4.8% in June, signaling a slowdown in demand from businesses placing fewer orders with manufacturers compared to May. At first glance, this drop may appear concerning, but a closer look reveals it could be less a red flag and more a recalibration. May saw

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GDP Commentary

GDP for Q2 2025 rose 3.0%, beating consensus, but the one quarter gain only tells part of the story. The main driver was a significant swing in trade: Excluding these volatile components, real final sales to private domestic purchasers, a measure of how much individuals and businesses within the U.S.

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