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Category: Market Updates & Commentary

Recent Labor Market Data Analysis

When analyzing the job market data, assessing the health of the labor market requires looking beyond the headline job numbers. Three key factors—employment growth, hours worked, and real wage growth—together provide a clearer picture of how income and labor demand are evolving. Jobs reflect the size of the workforce, hours

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Short Term Oil Supply Disruptions and Near-Term Volatility

Oil has long been one of the most geopolitically sensitive commodities in global markets. From the oil shocks of the 1970s to more recent supply disruptions, political developments have frequently introduced periods of heightened volatility in crude prices. However, history also shows that many of these episodes produce sharp but

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Investing Through Geopolitical Turmoil

Geopolitical turmoil is unsettling, but history shows that markets are often more resilient than the headlines suggest, and disciplined investors can use that to their advantage. Periods of war, political escalation, or global conflict can dominate the news cycle and trigger sharp market reactions. The uncertainty surrounding these events can

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February Market Commentary

Here is a brief February market commentary highlighting key developments across equities, fixed income, and the broader economic landscape as we move further into 2026. 1. Equities: Global Markets Lead as U.S. Rally Cools January brought a notable shift in market leadership. While the S&P 500 posted a modest gain

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Markets and Conflict: Iran Developments

What Happened On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched coordinated military strikes against Iran. The operation followed months of escalating tensions, including Iran’s violent crackdown on domestic protesters and failed nuclear negotiations. Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was confirmed killed in the strikes. Iran retaliated with missile

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U.S. GDP Growth in 2025: A Year of Resilience and Transition

The U.S. economy in 2025 demonstrated resilience in the face of policy shifts, trade disruptions, and a prolonged government shutdown. While growth varied across quarters, the overall expansion of about 2.2% for the year remained above the long term historical average. Steady consumer spending and meaningful investment in technology and

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Truflation – A High-Frequency Inflation Measurement

Truflation’s U.S. CPI-like index is designed as a daily-updated inflation measure built from a basket of consumer-spending categories broadly inspired by CPI structure, but implemented with alternative/high-frequency data feeds and a distinct housing treatment. Truflation documents a 7-step process (household expenditure weights → data sources → ingestion → transformations → indexing → weighting/roll-up → publication) and publishes

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US Homebuilder Confidence

Homebuilder confidence is measured by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Housing Market Index (HMI), a monthly survey of roughly 900 single-family builders that began in 1985. The index is diffusion-based, with readings above 50 indicating that more builders view conditions as good than poor. It is composed of

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Market Snapshot for January 2026

Please find the next blog in our monthly series that provides a snapshot of the markets and the state of the economy. Economic Overview Market Returns Asset Class Valuations – Rebalancing Rationale Key Risk Factors We Are Watching Disclaimers: The views expressed herein are those of Asset Consulting Group (ACG).

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