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China’s Surplus Breaks $1 Trillion

China’s trade surplus has surged above a record $1 trillion, cementing its role as the industrial hub of the world. Despite U.S. tariffs, China’s goods-trade surplus has increased month over month, even as its customer base has shifted. Chinese exports to the U.S. have fallen 18.9% in 2025, according to

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November in Review – What’s Driving Markets Now

Below is a summary of the major themes shaping portfolios as we move into year end. 1. Equities: Resilient, but Rotation Underway U.S. stocks ended November slightly higher, continuing a multi-month advance but with notable shifts beneath the surface. The S&P 500 gained just 0.1 percent, extending its winning streak

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Understanding Recent Market Volatility

Financial markets have experienced elevated volatility in recent weeks driven by shifting expectations around interest rates, evolving economic data, and changing sentiment across key sectors including technology and other growth-oriented areas. While periods like this can feel unsettling, volatility is normal and expected. More importantly, it rarely changes the path

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Market Snapshot for October 2025

Please find the next blog in our monthly series that provides a snapshot of the markets and the state of the economy. Economic Overview Market Returns Asset Class Valuations – Rebalancing Rationale Key Risk Factors We Are Watching Disclaimers: The views expressed herein are those of Asset Consulting Group (ACG).

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After the Shutdown

On November 13, 2025, the US federal government officially reopened after its longest shutdown in history. This reopening benefits both the Federal Reserve in setting monetary policy as well as investors in making informed decisions. The Federal Reserve benefits meaningfully from the restoration of normal government functions, particularly the return

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Major Themes Shaping Portfolios

Below is a brief summary of the major themes shaping portfolios as we move into the final months of the year. 1. Equities: Rally Continues Amid Earnings Strength U.S. stocks extended their gains in October. The S&P 500 rose about 2.3 percent, while the Nasdaq gained nearly 4.7 percent, driven

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The Government Shutdown and Investor Perspective

What’s Going On: A Snapshot of the Shutdown The current government shutdown stems from Congress’s inability to pass appropriations for the 2026 fiscal year. A significant number of federal employees have already been furloughed, while many others continue working without pay. Essential services such as Medicare, Medicaid, national defense, and

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Market Snapshot for September 2025

Please find the next blog in our monthly series that provides a snapshot of the markets and the state of the economy. Economic Overview Market Returns Asset Class Valuations – Rebalancing Rationale Key Risk Factors We Are Watching Disclaimers: The views expressed herein are those of Asset Consulting Group (ACG).

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September Market Commentary

U.S. equities delivered strong gains in September, a month that often leans weaker seasonally. The S&P 500 rose about 3.5 percent and the Nasdaq gained roughly 5.6 percent, marking the best September in over 15 years. Participation was somewhat uneven. Large-cap technology and growth companies remained important drivers of performance,

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Consumer Confidence is More than Just a Survey

Consumer Confidence is more than just a survey: recent research in narrative economics suggests it is a critical determinant of the American economy. Here is why: Consumers control the economy, accounting for roughly seventy percent of GDP; their spending is heavily influenced by narratives. The narrative of fear and distrust,

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September 17th FOMC Follow-Up

Monetary Policy ▪ The FOMC announced yesterday it will cut the Federal Funds target rate by 25 bps to a range of 4.00 – 4.25%, the first policy rate change of 2025. This decision had become widely expected by the market prior to the meeting.▪ Newly sworn in Fed Governor

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Could a more balanced global trade environment and easing monetary policy reshape market dynamics in the months ahead?

Recent optimism around US-China trade talks, coupled with stronger-than-expected consumer spending data, point to a cautiously upbeat economic backdrop. While inflation pressures remain, modest interest rate cuts suggest policymakers are aiming to support sustainable growth without overheating the economy.  Across sectors, markets are responding to evolving trade relationships and regulatory

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