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The geopolitical shock of early 2026 was real. The Iran conflict and the Strait of Hormuz disruption rattled markets, sent oil prices higher, and produced the kind of headline risk that historically triggers indiscriminate selling. The S&P 500 fell sharply from its late January peak. But the selloff had one
One of the more important macro developments in 2026 has been the quiet but persistent decline in underlying inflation and notably, Truflation identified this shift well before it showed up in official CPI data. As of early April, Truflation’s real-time inflation gauge was running at roughly 1.3%–1.7% year over year,
First-quarter earnings season is shaping up to be another strong showing for U.S. equities, but the underlying composition of that growth tells a more nuanced story. Consensus expectations for S&P 500 earnings growth have held relatively steady in the low-to-mid teens, roughly in line with the ~13–14% range tracked by
When people think about their financial assets, they tend to focus on the usual categories: stocks, bonds, real estate, and cash. These are the assets we can measure, track, and benchmark. But there is another asset working quietly behind the scenes, one that determines how a person uses their assets:
Earnings season for Q1 2026 has kicked off with the financials sector once again setting the tone for the broader market—and early results suggest a combination of strong capital markets activity, resilient consumers, and still-elevated interest rate benefits, albeit with growing macro uncertainty. Consensus expectations heading into the quarter called
At different points in life, key moments create meaningful life transitions that often come with financial and personal decisions. Guided by our purpose of helping make people’s lives better, we continue our blog series focusing on these life transitions, offering perspective to help you navigate each one with clarity and
The latest Producer Price Index (PPI) report offers a useful reminder that inflation doesn’t move through the economy all at once—it builds from the ground up. In March, wholesale prices rose just 0.5%, far below expectations, even as geopolitical tensions pushed energy prices higher. That disconnect highlights an important reality:
Now that the filing deadline has passed, this is an ideal time to evaluate financial decisions with greater clarity and without the pressure of deadlines. This moment provides a valuable opportunity to step back, gain clarity, and make more intentional financial decisions for the year ahead. A completed tax return
The price-to-earnings ratio has long been one of the most widely used valuation metrics in equity markets, but its interpretation has evolved meaningfully over time. In the post-war period, the S&P 500 typically traded at a trailing P/E in the low-to-mid teens, reflecting a market environment characterized by higher interest
Existing-home sales are best understood as a turnover metric, not a pure demand proxy. In the mid-2000s credit boom, turnover was supercharged by speculative demand, easy mortgage credit, and an expanding stock of vacant-for-sale homes; annual existing-home sales reached 7.072 million in 2005, while the homeowner vacancy rate was roughly
Please find the next blog in our monthly series that provides a snapshot of the markets and the state of the economy. Economic Overview Market Returns Asset Class Valuations – Rebalancing Rationale Key Risk Factors We Are Watching Disclosure: The views expressed herein are those of Asset Consulting Group (ACG).
The 1970s Experience: A Decade of Disruption “Stagflation” represents a rare intersection of stagnant growth, high unemployment, and high inflation. Historically synonymous with the 1970s, it dismantled the Keynesian belief that inflation and unemployment shared an inverse relationship. In 2026, the Iran conflict’s energy price shock has revived 1970s comparisons.
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